GOLD/SILVER Ratio Price Risk Analysis
(Previous update in brackets)
|Trend||↑ (↑)||↓ (↓)||↓ (↑)|
|56 (58)||36 (42)||32 (54)|
Portfolio allocation 40% (40%)
Gold Silver ratio analysis
12 November 2021 close: Monthly risk weight is still up but slowing. The trend across different time intervals is down right now, including quarterly, which increases the chance of the Gold Silver ratio reacing that 50 year average at the 57 handle. The Gold Silver ratio preferably drops towards 72 fairly soon to make that next expected move towards a mid 60's handle. Gold (12%) and Silver (14%) are both strong insurance Hodl in our allocation with a slight Silver overweight.
05 November 2021 close: Closely following the Gold/Silver ratio value is of particular interest to determine a level of overweight for either metal in the portfolio. We stick to our forecast that we will reach that 50 year average of Gold being 57 X Silver and whih typically will (temporarily) go through that level.
Risk weight analysis across time intervals is not showing any spectecular strong high or low indication, hence looking to develop a traditional technical analysis pattern where we should first see bullish divergence in longer term monthly and even quarterly time frames before calling a potential trend bottom. That has yet to materialize. Silver thus has at least a 20% better potential over gold which could take some time to realize. No Change.