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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 25 Nov 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD Our gold allocation vs USD remains 60%. This pair has still not confirmed a full allocation even though other asset classes remain more vulnerable and would justify a higher allocation to Gold. Within any asset allocation policy Gold must play an important enough role, simply because a minimum […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 17 Nov 2018

Gold/USD Again Gold had a near one on one move with the USDollar. Monday $Up & Gold down. Rest of the week $Down and Gold up. The initial allocation of 60% at slightly lower levels remains. Weekly needs to turn up for the uptrend to be resumed in full force which is supported by clear daily and Monthly uptrends, hence […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 11 Nov 2018

Gold / USD A midweek accelerating USD was the major influence on PM. With weekly turning down the risk weight requires allocation to be reduced to 60% again. (USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 4 Nov 2018

Gold / USD USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher risk territory but still strong and up. October closed up on monthly. With Daily and hourly neutral we maintain 80% allocation. (The relatively strong dollar […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 27 Oct 2018

Gold / USD The relatively strong dollar seems to be responsible for holding back a slightly more rapid advance of Gold/USD. The strong weekly uptrend and an upturning Monthly trend normally also drives ST momentum. No Change in 80% bullish risk allocation. (Both weekly and Monthly trends are Up whilst daily has turned neutral. From a risk point of view […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 21 Oct 2018

Gold / USD Both weekly and Monthly trends are Up whilst daily has turned neutral. From a risk point of view this market can strongly advance or move sideways short term. If sideways it will take time for LT time frames to show a fresh turn down, hence no change in allocation. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 19 close […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 14 Oct 2018

Gold / USD All time frames support a confirmation of trend change at last weeks close. The allocation based on risk weight is increased from 60 to 80%. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 12 close 1221 (1202) Trend Direction Up (N) Up (Up) Up (Up) Down Risk Weight 20 (15-20) 30-40 (25-35) 55-70 (60-65) 20-30 Allocation 80% (60%) Silver […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 7 Oct 2018

Gold / USD Risk has further diminished with weekly turning up and daily in uptrend. Allocation increased to 60%. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 5 close 1202 (1192) Trend Direction N (N) Up (N) Up (Down) Up Risk Weight 15-20 (15-20) 25-35 (25-35) 60-65 (20-25) 60-70 Allocation 60% (50%) Silver / USD Last week’s rapid change of trend will […]

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PRECIOUS METALS

Precious Metals Intro

Gold & Silver Real Money - Are Central banks in denial? The Precious Metals industry is huge and has been throughout history. Here's the metaphor; The average ordinary tomato in the supermarket is sprayed with 12 pesticides. Plenty of scientific evidence that living a healthier life is important. This requires a reset to the basics of what our nature has ...
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FOREX

Forex Intro

FOREX – Observe Gap openings in all markets when analysing risk We cover just the major pairs USD index, USD/EUR, GBP/USD, USD/YEN and GBP/EUR as they are most relevant when longer term reversals materialize. Historically gap openings are nearly always filled in a relatively short period of time. The risk analysis we do can be ...
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BTC | S&P | OIL

Global Intro

Global Intro – Will stock indices double again? But double against what? This is 2018. No one knows how these markets will behave and what may cause a major reversal in the near or more distant future. We suspect that the meteoric rise of certain financial assets have a more or less linear relationship with quantitative easing. Until real concerns ...
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ASSET RISK

Risk explained

Risk explained Every weekend, we attempt to publish a risk analysis, like the below GOLD/USD table, for each of the markets shown in our forecast analysis including crypto assets if crypto becomes more influential in the global space. We do follow Bitcoin (BTC) as this ‘currency’ is the leading non-sovereign monetary asset. If you care to examine your own preferred ...
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