Latest Posts

Metals – FX- Indices – update – 20 Jan 2019

Gold/USD LT (monthly) still in early Uptrend phase. MT (weekly) high risk but no divergence, whilst ST (Daily and hourly) are in a risk position that likely will limit downside. Important is that this market is not expected to peak MT until ST Daily and/or weekly show price/risk weight divergence. No change. (LT trend and risk weight are the major […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 13 Jan 2019

Gold/USD LT trend and risk weight are the major force still. Both Daily and Weekly risk weight only topped once following a major trend change. Risk is that this market has (much) further to go. No change in full allocation to Gold vs USD. (Daily Gold turned down in high risk weight area. This is not unexpected, however the strong […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 6 Jan 2019

Gold/USD Daily Gold turned down in high risk weight area. This is not unexpected, however the strong LT is still the dominant force to be respected. No change as yet. For those interested to play Platinum. That market appears to want to break its downtrend and could soon explode to the upside and quickly retrace a multi-year divergence versus Gold […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 30 Dec 2018

Gold/USD Stay long with the strong LT trend and an advancing lower risk weight. With Weekly and Daily in higher risk weight territory it is entirely possible that this pair may slow or even retract a bit, but the trend is Up and there is no divergence of any kind that would suggest an end. Besides it looks like Silver […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 23 Dec 2018

Gold/USD We are raising allocation to Gold to 100% of the Portfolio allocation maximum within a diversified portfolio. This maximum is of course a matter of personal preference. That preferred allocation to gold can now be increased to further limit any major exposure to the banking sector due to a relatively and uncomfortably higher cash level. (Any medium term to […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 17 Dec 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD Any medium term to short term weakness is strongly defended by the LT uptrend. No divergence and allocation holds. (LT trend are supportive of a firm trend change. Hourly being down and high risk we wait for a slightly lower entry point at any level as soon as […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 9 Dec 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD LT trend are supportive of a firm trend change. Hourly being down and high risk we wait for a slightly lower entry point at any level as soon as hourly trend turns Up and raise allocation to 80%. (We remain cautious and stay with 60% gold allocation) Gold/USD […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 2 Dec 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD We remain cautious and stay with 60% gold allocation. (Our gold allocation vs USD remains 60%. This pair has still not confirmed a full allocation even though other asset classes remain more vulnerable and would justify a higher allocation to Gold. Within any asset allocation policy Gold must […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 25 Nov 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD Our gold allocation vs USD remains 60%. This pair has still not confirmed a full allocation even though other asset classes remain more vulnerable and would justify a higher allocation to Gold. Within any asset allocation policy Gold must play an important enough role, simply because a minimum […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 17 Nov 2018

Gold/USD Again Gold had a near one on one move with the USDollar. Monday $Up & Gold down. Rest of the week $Down and Gold up. The initial allocation of 60% at slightly lower levels remains. Weekly needs to turn up for the uptrend to be resumed in full force which is supported by clear daily and Monthly uptrends, hence […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 11 Nov 2018

Gold / USD A midweek accelerating USD was the major influence on PM. With weekly turning down the risk weight requires allocation to be reduced to 60% again. (USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 4 Nov 2018

Gold / USD USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher risk territory but still strong and up. October closed up on monthly. With Daily and hourly neutral we maintain 80% allocation. (The relatively strong dollar […]

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PRECIOUS METALS

Precious Metals Intro

Gold & Silver Real Money - Are Central banks in denial? The Precious Metals industry is huge and has been throughout history. Here's the metaphor; The average ordinary tomato in the supermarket is sprayed with 12 pesticides. Plenty of scientific evidence that living a healthier life is important. This requires a reset to the basics of what our nature has ...
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FOREX

Forex Intro

FOREX – Observe Gap openings in all markets when analysing risk We cover just the major pairs USD index, USD/EUR, GBP/USD, USD/YEN and GBP/EUR as they are most relevant when longer term reversals materialize. Historically gap openings are nearly always filled in a relatively short period of time. The risk analysis we do can be ...
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BTC | S&P | OIL

Global Intro

Global Intro – Will stock indices double again? But double against what? This is 2018. No one knows how these markets will behave and what may cause a major reversal in the near or more distant future. We suspect that the meteoric rise of certain financial assets have a more or less linear relationship with quantitative easing. Until real concerns ...
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ASSET RISK

Risk explained

Risk explained Every weekend, we attempt to publish a risk analysis, like the below GOLD/USD table, for each of the markets shown in our forecast analysis including crypto assets if crypto becomes more influential in the global space. We do follow Bitcoin (BTC) as this ‘currency’ is the leading non-sovereign monetary asset. If you care to examine your own preferred ...
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