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Precious metals

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 25 Nov 2018

Precious Metals: Gold & Silver vs US Dollar, Euro, GBP, Ratio Gold/USD Our gold allocation vs USD remains 60%. This pair has still not confirmed a full allocation even though other asset classes remain more vulnerable and would justify a higher allocation to Gold. Within any asset allocation policy Gold must play an important enough role, simply because a minimum […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 17 Nov 2018

Gold/USD Again Gold had a near one on one move with the USDollar. Monday $Up & Gold down. Rest of the week $Down and Gold up. The initial allocation of 60% at slightly lower levels remains. Weekly needs to turn up for the uptrend to be resumed in full force which is supported by clear daily and Monthly uptrends, hence […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 11 Nov 2018

Gold / USD A midweek accelerating USD was the major influence on PM. With weekly turning down the risk weight requires allocation to be reduced to 60% again. (USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 4 Nov 2018

Gold / USD USD movement vs majors determined direction during the week. A strong dollar caused early weakness in metals during the past week with a reversal in second half. Weekly is moving into higher risk territory but still strong and up. October closed up on monthly. With Daily and hourly neutral we maintain 80% allocation. (The relatively strong dollar […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 27 Oct 2018

Gold / USD The relatively strong dollar seems to be responsible for holding back a slightly more rapid advance of Gold/USD. The strong weekly uptrend and an upturning Monthly trend normally also drives ST momentum. No Change in 80% bullish risk allocation. (Both weekly and Monthly trends are Up whilst daily has turned neutral. From a risk point of view […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 21 Oct 2018

Gold / USD Both weekly and Monthly trends are Up whilst daily has turned neutral. From a risk point of view this market can strongly advance or move sideways short term. If sideways it will take time for LT time frames to show a fresh turn down, hence no change in allocation. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 19 close […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 14 Oct 2018

Gold / USD All time frames support a confirmation of trend change at last weeks close. The allocation based on risk weight is increased from 60 to 80%. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 12 close 1221 (1202) Trend Direction Up (N) Up (Up) Up (Up) Down Risk Weight 20 (15-20) 30-40 (25-35) 55-70 (60-65) 20-30 Allocation 80% (60%) Silver […]

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Metals – FX- Indices – update – 7 Oct 2018

Gold / USD Risk has further diminished with weekly turning up and daily in uptrend. Allocation increased to 60%. Gold/USD Month Week Day Hour Oct 5 close 1202 (1192) Trend Direction N (N) Up (N) Up (Down) Up Risk Weight 15-20 (15-20) 25-35 (25-35) 60-65 (20-25) 60-70 Allocation 60% (50%) Silver / USD Last week’s rapid change of trend will […]

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PRECIOUS METALS

Precious Metals Intro

Gold & Silver Real Money - Are Central banks in denial? The Precious Metals industry is huge and has been throughout history. Here's the metaphor; The average ordinary tomato in the supermarket is sprayed with 12 pesticides. Plenty of scientific evidence that living a healthier life is important. This requires a reset to the basics of what our nature has ...
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FOREX

Forex Intro

FOREX – Observe Gap openings in all markets when analysing risk We cover just the major pairs USD index, USD/EUR, GBP/USD, USD/YEN and GBP/EUR as they are most relevant when longer term reversals materialize. Historically gap openings are nearly always filled in a relatively short period of time. The risk analysis we do can be ...
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CRYPTO | S&P

Global Intro

Global Intro – Will stock indices double again? But double against what? This is 2018. No one knows how these markets will behave and what may cause a major reversal in the near or more distant future. We suspect that the meteoric rise of certain financial assets have a more or less linear relationship with quantitative easing. Until real concerns ...
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ASSET RISK

Risk explained

Risk Weight explained Every so often we attempt to publish a risk analysis for each of the markets we focus on. This can be a moving target of market. Some will apear and others disappear. We must follow Bitcoin (BTC) as this ‘currency’ is still the leading non-sovereign monetary asset. If you care to examine your own preferred technical tools ...
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